Showing posts with label Bill Self. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Bill Self. Show all posts

Monday, April 02, 2012

Why The Kansas Jayhawks Will Win Tonights' NCAA Championship

As many of you know, I love this time of year.  I am very excited about the game tonight.  It should be a great match-up.  On paper, Kentucky should win.  However, I want to put myself out on a limb here and declare a winner in tonights' NCAA Mens' Basketball Championship Game.  It will be Kansas.  Why?

The things that are in the Kansas Jayhawks' favor:

  • Anthony Davis of Kentucky has just been named Player of the Year.  The POY jinx is strong.
  • John Calipari has too much pressure on him to define his legacy and claim a championship.
  • Kansas has been there before and has the experience to win.
  • The Kansas defense will disrupt the Kentucky offense.
  • "One-and-done" freshman dominated teams do not typically win.
  • Kansas' team defense is better than Kentucky's shot-blocking oriented defense. 
  • Kentucky's fans are putting excessive pressure on this team to win.  They are in New Orleans en masse.  They expect a championship.    
  • Kentucky was compared favorably in the media to an NBA team.  This is the strongest NCAA tournament jinx of all. 
  • Kansas is a +6.5 point underdog.  
The things that are in the Kentucky Wildcats' favor:
  • Kentucky's freshmen are virtual sophomores.  They are no longer freshmen.
  • Bill Self just took Coach of the Year honors.  The COY jinx is not as strong as the POY jinx, but it still has influence.
  • Kentucky's overall talent surpasses Kansas' talent. 
  • Kentucky is a -6.5 point favorite. 

So, the slight edge, including pressure, jinxes and others intangibles goes to Kansas.  Enjoy the game!